Reduce Deficit with Either Modified Simpson-Bowles or In God We Trust
After watching the testimony before the Deficit Reduction
Committee I went from stuck in despair to hoping for repair. I now have faith
in two plans: The “In God We Trust” plan, or “The modified Simpson-Bowles Commission
Plan.” Here’s why.
The committee appeared from behind closed doors to hear
testimony on November 1 from Sen. Alan Simpson and Erskine Bowles, co-chairs of
the Simpson-Bowles Commission, and Pete Domenici and Dr. Alice Rivlin,
co-chairs of the Domenici-Rivlin Task Force. Both deficit reduction plans have
languished despite Deficit Committee co-chairs admitting both plans provided an
impressive body of work over the last two years.
The two sets of speakers agreed the plans are similar and
capable of resolving the deficit crisis with a bold goal of $3.9 trillion. All
four lectured committee members they would fail the American people unless
their final agreement curtailed spending and increased revenue.
That’s when the ‘In God We Trust plan’ arrived within me.
Our silver dollars have “In God We Trust” inscribed on them. If no agreement is
reached by Saturday November 12, the committee would agreed to trust God to
choose the right plan. After assigning plans to different sides of the coin,
each co-chair would flip a silver dollar until both coins matched. Full faith
in our motto would compel relieved members to unanimously support the chosen
one and our primarily God-loving people to accept it.
In the midst of committee members’s despair-inducing
questions to support their pet perspectives, Simpson recommended Bowles be
given a chance at the end of questioning to explain how the committee could
succeed. After the questions mercifully ended deficit Co-Chair Jeb Hensarling
gave him the opportunity. Committee members scribbled notes as Bowles talked.
Bowles articulated boldness in a plan to cut deficits by
$3.9 trillion over ten years with the $1.3 trillion cuts in discretionary
spending agreed to in the enabling legislation and another $2.6 trillion from a
unanimous committee. His numbers begin with public proposals on the competing
positions and suggest compromises. If you love numbers they’re below and trust
me Bowles crafted beautiful creatures. If you avoid numbers, skip merrily to
the penultimate paragraph while whistling about the spirit of compromise.
The two sides have
proposed $250-450 billion more cuts in discretionary spending, so Bowles
assumed they could compromise on $300 billion. They’ve proposed $500-750
billion in cuts to health care and if they increased eligibility requirements
they could reach $600 billion. They’ve proposed $250-400 billion in cuts on
mandatory programs, so they could compromise on $300 billion. Interest savings
would equal $400 billion. They’ve agreed to alter the CPI index calculations on
benefits and pensions to save $200 billion. Those promising compromises total
$1.8 trillion. Adding $1.3 trillion equals $3.1 trillion. Notice that’s $800
billion short.
Bowles said that brings everyone to the revenue side. He
trusts tax-restructuring recommendations in the two plans, but political
reality led him to accept a verbal commitment from House Speaker Boehner who
said tax-restructuring to increase revenue by $800 billion is possible. Bowles
suggested Democrats could accept it if were made slightly more progressive.
Spending cuts of $3.1 trillion plus revenue increases of $800 billion equals
$3.9 trillion dollars.
Bowles reminded the committee members they have the power in
section 404 of the enabling legislation to instruct authorizing committees to
produce entitlement and tax reform in streamlined processes. All four speakers
charged them to seize their power.
Bowles said, “I think that would create a lot of excitement
with people in the country and go a long ways to build people’s confidence that
we can stand up to our problems.”
God gains confidence when we stand united to overcome
problems. So I’ve shelved my despair and hope for repair in favor of Bowles’s
modified Simpson-Bowles plan and pushed the In God We Trust plan to a fallback
position. Come to think of it, the modified Simpson-Bowles plan is an In God We
Trust plan.


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